ANZ Research has downgraded its housing price forecasts and now expects capital city prices to fall 4.3% this year and 3.4% next year (previously they expected falls of 2.1% in 2026 and 3.3% in 2027). This would result in a peak-to-trough decline of 10.6% across the capital cities. ANZ expects Sydney and Melbourne to lead the recovery once rates start falling in 2027. In the short term, watch the "in-time" indicators closely - particularly auction clearance rates and total listings. Those will tell you more about buyer and seller behaviour than other indicators.
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